Forward Rates
|
|||||
|
Spot
|
30
|
90
|
180
|
Forward Rate at a Premium or Discount
|
|
Rate
|
Days
|
Days
|
Days
|
|
British pound
|
0.6006
|
0.6009
|
0.6019
|
0.6035
|
Discount
|
Japanese yen
|
114.0400
|
113.5000
|
112.5900
|
111.1300
|
Premium
|
German mark
|
1.5581
|
1.5551
|
1.5493
|
1.5401
|
Premium
|
Friday, July 5, 2013
Trading in Foreign Exchange
Importers exporters tourists and
governments buy and sell currencies in the foreign exchange market. For
example, when a U.S. trader imports automobiles from Germany, payment will
probably be made in German marks. The importer buys marks (through its bank) in
the foreign exchange market much as one buys common stocks on the New York
Stock Exchange or pork bellies on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. However,
whereas stock and commodity exchanges have organized trading floors, the foreign
exchange market consists of a network of brokers and banks based in New York,
London, Tokyo and other financial centers. Most buy and sell orders are
conducted by computer and telephone.
Spot Rates and Forward Rates
The exchange rates shown earlier
in tables 18-1 and 18-2 are known as spot rates which means the rate paid for
delivery of the currency “on the spot” or in reality no more than two days
after the day of the trade. For most of the world’s major currencies, it is
also possible to buy (or sell) currencies for delivery at some agreed-upon
future date, usually 30.90 or 180 days from the day the transaction is
negotiated. This rate is know as the forward exchange rate. For example, if a
U.S. firm must make payment to a Japanese firm in 30 days, the U.S. firm’s
treasurer can buy Japanese yen today for delivery in 30 days paying the 30-day
forward rate of $0.0088 per Japanese yen (which equals 113.50 yen per dollar). Forward
rates are analogous to futures prices on commodity exchanges. Where contracts
are drawn up for wheat or corn to be delivered at agreed-upon prices at some
future date. The contract is signed today and the future dollar cost of the
Japanese yen is then known with certainty. Purchasing a forward contract is one
technique for eliminating the volatility of future cash flows caused by
fluctuations in exchange rates. This technique, which is called hedging, will
be discussed in more detail in Chapter 19.
Recent forward rates for 30-90-
and 180-day delivery, along with the current spot rates for some commonly
traded currencies, are given in table 18-3. if one can obtain more of the
foreign currency for a dollar in the forward than in the spot market the
forward currency is less valuable than the spot currency and the forward
currency is said to be selling at a discount. Thus because I dollar could buy
0.6006 British pound in the spot market but 0.6035 pound in the 180-
day forward market, forward
pounds sell at a discount as compared with spot pounds. Conversely, since a dollar
would buy fewer yen in the forward than in the spot market the forward yen is
selling at a premium.
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