Thursday, July 4, 2013
The International Monetary System
Every nation has a monetary
system with a monetary authority. In the United States the Federal Reserve is
our monetary authority and its task is to hold down inflation while promoting
economic growth and raising our national standard of living Moreover if
countries are to trade with one another. We must have some sort of system
designed to facilitate payments between nations.
From the end of World War II
until August 1971 the world was on a fixed exchange rate system administered by
the International Monetary fund (IMF). Under this system the U.S. dollar was
liked to gold ($35 per ounce) and other currencies were then tied to the
dollar. Exchange rates between other currencies and the dollar were controlled
within narrow limits but then adjusted periodically. For example. in1964 the
British pound was adjusted to $2.80 for ₤1 with a 1 percent permissible
fluctuation about this rate.
Fluctuations in exchange rates
occur because of changes in the supply of and demand for dollars. Pounds and
other currencies. These supply and demand changes have two primary sources.
First changes in the demand for currencies depend on changes in imports and
exports of goods and services. For example U.S. importers must buy British pounds
to pay for British goods whereas British importers must buy U.S. dollars to pay
for U.S. goods. if U.S. imports from Great Britain exceeded U.S. exports to Great
Britain. There would be a greater demand for pounds than for dollars and this
would drive up the price of the pound relative to that of the dollar. In terms
of table 18-1 the dollar cost of a pound might rise from $1.6650 to $2.0000.
The U.S. dollar would be said to be depreciating because a dollar would now be
worth fewer pounds whereas the pound would be appreciating. In this example the
root cause of the change would be the U.S. trade deficit with Great Britain. Of
cause. If U.S. exports to Great Britain were greater than U.S. imports from
Great Britain. Great Britain would have a trade deficit with the United States2.
Changes in the demand for a
currency hence exchange rate fluctuations also depend on capital movements. For
example. suppose interest rates in Great Britain were higher than those in the
United States. To take advantage of the high British interest rates U.S. banks
corporations and even sophisticated individuals would buy pounds with dollars
and then use those pounds to purchase high yielding British securities. These
purchases would tend to drive up the price of pounds2.
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